Recep Tayyip Erdogan (Rize, 1957) has become tonight in the second Turkish prime minister in the polls validate a third consecutive term. The other, Adnan Menderes was hanged in 1961 after a military coup when he was about to get the fourth victory at the polls. A Erdogan did not happen the same. First, because it may stand for a fourth term: what's statutes prohibit his triumphant ruling Justice and Development Party (AKP). And second, because the Turkish military have left to mark the transition to civilian rulers since the moderate Islamist AKP came to power in 2002 and took the path of reforms leading to Europe.
Erdogan has denied himself a historic victory with a final 50% of the vote to 99% of the vote, placing the bar too high expectations, grab at least 330 of the 550 seats in Parliament to unilaterally impose new constitution that Turkey needs to become a new global power and democratic. With 326 members, has been at the gates of his goal, which would allow solo writing the Constitution to be submitted directly to referendum. And even farther from the 367 seats, which have approved the constitution by a landslide in the House itself without recourse to a referendum.
Turkish elections have been a game in which everyone wins. Although the fatuous dream of Erdogan's try to dictate the rules of the game is gone, his third consecutive election victory is indisputable, worthy of historical leaders such as Margaret Thachter in the UK or Helmut Kohl in Germany. A referendum imposing a political and economic reforms that have opened up new spaces of freedom and prosperity for the 74 million Turks.
AKP wins and also wins the Republican People's Party (CHP) of Kemal Kiliçdaroglu, "the Turkish Gandhi" that obtains for the center-left 27% of the vote, compared to the meager 20% that got his predecessor, Deniz Yilmaz in the 2007 elections. Kiliçdaroglu now be imposed against the nationalist old guard of his party and consolidate its turn secular and social democratic alternative to Erdogan's Islamic conservatism.
Earn even the Nationalist Movement Party (MHP), despite having lost a few thousand votes and have fallen to 13%. The far right feared to be left out of the House if the barrier did not exceed 10% of the national vote after a wave of sex scandals that have punctuated his leadership.
And win, and notably, the Kurdish nationalist Party of Peace and Democracy (BDP), which, as independents in their strongholds in southeastern Anatolia have weathered the reef from 10% to total 35 seats, 15 more than four years ago. Erdogan and parliamentary groups will have their voices heard to agree the new constitution viable.
But mostly wins Turkish democracy, which has denied the absolute power as an exceptional leader Erdogan to force him to seek greater consensus requires a nation's social contract. Has been granted, yes, a strong majority to govern without ties and pursue the path of growth and reforms.
New Constitution
The orientation of the new Turkish Constitution drafted yesterday elected Parliament will necessarily subject to checks and balances. Erdogan has defended a model presidential campaign, like that of France or the United States, where he would run as a candidate for head of state to exert a powerful executive branch to the horizon of 2023, the centenary of the founding of Turkey modern. But the secular opposition CHP required to maintain the current parliamentary model in order to exert greater control over the government.
The re-elected Prime Minister Erdogan will face from now to the old unresolved Turkey, accumulated during his nine year rule of two consecutive terms. As stated in its latest report Hugh Pope, director of analysis for Turkey from the International Crisis Group, the revival of the negotiation process for accession to the European Union, which took off in 2005 but remain stranded due to the veto of Cyprus, and solution to the Kurdish conflict, which has caused over 40,000 deaths over the past three decades, are the most urgent tasks awaiting the new Cabinet.
In the same vein, the European Council of Foreign Exteriotres (ECFR its acronym in English), questions in his latest publication on whether the Eurasian country can manage its internal diversity, internal tensions reconcile and heal the wounds of the past without agreeing the new constitution. The EFCR argues that, despite the growing rejection of the Turks into the EU from the freezing of the accession negotiations, Turkey Europe can help the peaceful resolution of the Kurdish conflict, and use their influence (the Twenty is the largest customer Turkish-market economy) on the new government in Ankara to allay fears that the AKP can exercise absolute power.