When the newly formed Justice and Development Party (AKP) was submitted to the 2002 elections, nobody could foresee the political earthquake that would entail. After a campaign based on the fight against corruption - 'AK' means 'pure' in Turkish, the Islamist AKP won an astounding 34.3% of the vote, despite the suspicions of the old elite secularists who claimed that the Erdogan's party in his youth, who refused to shake hands with women, had a hidden agenda to Islamicize the country.

But, once in government, policy reform, free market and pro-Europe was hailed as a step in the democratization of Turkey. The AKP was re-elected with 47% of the vote in 2007. And again as a favorite part in the elections today: some polls give more than 50% of the vote largely thanks to its good economic performance. Its stated goal is to accommodate more than 367 of the 550 parliamentary seats, allowing them to unilaterally change the present Constitution, with amendments, established after the 1980 coup.

However, some things have changed in his politics. After years of reform momentum protected by the process of accession to the European Union, the rejection within the EU to Turkish entry has led many to question the need to insist on certain policy reforms, for example, rights Kurdish minority or police abuse. Concerned, in addition, the increasing intolerance of criticism and discourse increasingly religious and nationalist leaders exhibit.

The paradox is that the AKP wins election because his great rival, the secular Republican Party (CHP) is widely perceived as "less democratic" associated with "old order" in which the military arbitrated country's political life and refused other identities of secular nationalism was established by the founder of modern Turkish Republic, Mustafa Kemal Atatürk. His followers, the Kemalist, are seen by a large segment of the population and secular elites, the so-called sosyete "- and intolerant, far from the daily concerns of many Turks.

But this may be changing. The party broke up a year ago of its leader, Deniz Baykal, after the appearance of a sexually explicit video in which he seemed to maintain an affair. His replacement, Kemal Kiliçdaroglu has given a new image, showing more tolerant position towards the question of the veil in Turkey are more than 60% of the women, as distinct from the military coup and accused of making bold proposals to solve the Kurdish issue, including an amnesty for Kurdish guerrillas active.

This, according to surveys, will bring between 25 and 30% of the vote in elections today. The CHP known to have the secular women's vote and has managed to gain many liberals uneasy center to which its authoritarian past.
The Kurds

More difficult it is to the Kurdish-quarter of the country's population, which could not promise much more than a policy of decentralization that gives more autonomy to the Kurdish areas of southeast. Many Kurds will opt for Peace and Democracy Party (BDP), a training base leftist Kurdish (though not exclusively), which is the fourth political force in Turkey. The BDP has it difficult to overcome the election barrier to enter Parliament, which in Turkey is 10%, so it has chosen to support independent candidates.

Thus, the key may lie in the ultra-nationalist National Action Party (MHP)-the third party by number of votes, and polls that give a comfortable 13 or 14%, perhaps more so, when to establish a partnership everyone needs.

103810391040104110421043104410451046104710481049105010511052105310541055105610571058105910601061106210631064106510661067106810691070107110721073107410751076107710781079108010811082108310841085108610871088108910901091109210931094109510961097109810991100110111021103110411051106110711081109111011111112111311141115111611171118111911201121112211231124112511261127112811291130113111321133113411351136113711381139114011411142114311441145114611471148114911501151115211531154115511561157115811591160116111621163116411651166116711681169117011711172117311741175117611771178117911801181118211831184118511861187118811891190119111921193119411951196119711981199120012011202120312041205120612071208120912101211121212131214121512161217121812191220122112221223122412251226122712281229123012311232123312341235123612371238123912401241124212431244124512461247124812491250125112521253125412551256125712581259126012611262126312641265126612671268126912701271127212731274127512761277127812791280128112821283128412851286128712881289129012911292129312941295129612971298129913001301130213031304130513061307130813091310131113121313131413151316131713181319132013211322132313241325132613271328132913301331133213331334133513361337133813391340134113421343134413451346134713481349135013511352135313541355135613571358135913601361136213631364136513661367136813691370137113721373137413751376137713781379138013811382138313841385138613871388138913901391139213931394139513961397139813991400140114021403140414051406140714081409141014111412141314141415141614171418141914201421142214231424142514261427142814291430143114321433143414351436143714381439144014411442144314441445144614471448144914501451145214531454145514561457145814591460146114621463146414651466146714681469147014711472147314741475147614771478147914801481148214831484148514861487148814891490149114921493149414951496149714981499150015011502150315041505150615071508150915101511151215131514151515161517151815191520152115221523152415251526152715281529153015311532153315341535153615371538153915401541154215431544154515461547154815491550155115521553155415551556155715581559156015611562156315641565156615671568156915701571157215731574157515761577157815791580158115821583158415851586158715881589159015911592159315941595159615971598159916001601160216031604160516061607160816091610161116121613161416151616161716181619162016211622162316241625162616271628162916301631163216331634163516361637163816391640164116421643164416451646164716481649165016511652165316541655165616571658165916601661166216631664166516661667166816691670167116721673167416751676167716781679168016811682168316841685168616871688168916901691169216931694169516961697169816991700170117021703170417051706170717081709171017111712171317141715171617171718171917201721172217231724172517261727172817291730173117321733173417351736173717381739174017411742174317441745174617471748174917501751175217531754175517561757175817591760176117621763176417651766176717681769177017711772177317741775177617771778177917801781178217831784178517861787178817891790179117921793179417951796179717981799180018011802180318041805180618071808180918101811181218131814181518161817181818191820182118221823182418251826182718281829183018311832183318341835183618371838183918401841184218431844184518461847184818491850185118521853185418551856185718581859186018611862186318641865186618671868186918701871187218731874187518761877187818791880188118821883188418851886188718881889189018911892189318941895189618971898189919001901190219031904190519061907190819091910191119121913191419151916191719181919192019211922192319241925192619271928192919301931193219331934193519361937193819391940194119421943194419451946194719481949195019511952195319541955195619571958195919601961196219631964196519661967196819691970197119721973197419751976197719781979198019811982198319841985198619871988198919901991199219931994199519961997199819992000200120022003200420052006200720082009201020112012201320142015201620172018201920202021202220232024202520262027202820292030